US-listed fixed income ETF assets have grown at an annualized rate of 33% since 2002, nearly reaching the $2 trillion mark in June 2025.1 Globally, fixed income ETF assets have surpassed $2.7 trillion year to date.2 And, according to a recent Cerulli survey, fund managers believe fixed income ETFs will be a major driver of ETF asset growth.3
Fixed income ETFs offer investors exposure to a wide range of debt securities, combining the benefits of bonds—such as income generation and risk mitigation—with the flexibility, transparency and, most importantly, the liquidity of the ETF wrapper.
ETFs offer significantly more liquidity than the underlying bonds because ETFs have two layers of liquidity, from:
This superior liquidity facilitates trading in markets that may be less liquid at the individual bond level, setting ETFs apart from traditional bond portfolios and mutual funds, where trading illiquid bonds can be costly and time-consuming.
While the first fixed income ETFs were broad index funds, today ETFs cover all corners of traditional bond market sectors—investment-grade credit and high yield, to municipals, senior loans, and emerging market debt. But this evolution has also paved the way for greater fixed income innovation, like the introduction of private credit ETFs and the popularization of active fixed income ETFs. This wide range of exposures has helped create a more centralized and transparent fixed income marketplace.
Where might the next wave of fixed income growth come from? With increased geopolitical and policy uncertainty injecting a dose of volatility into markets, investors continue to gravitate to the relative safety and reliability of money market funds and ultra-short term bonds.
In 2024, US money market funds saw $852 billion in inflows, pushing assets to north of $7.2 trillion.4 Net inflows have continued into 2025 due to money market funds’ comparatively higher yields and the Federal Reserve (Fed) holding rates steady. And ultra-short term bonds experienced $52 billion in inflows, bringing assets to $392 billion by December 31, 2024.5 But when the Fed begins cutting interest rates, the direction of these inflows is likely to reverse.
With cash-like exposures exposed to these rate volatility challenges, what fixed income asset classes might attract investors? Active core bond ETFs and a mix of short and intermediate investment-grade bond ETFs will likely see inflows from investors seeking reliable income with greater stability. And private credit as a fixed income replacement could gain traction among investors looking for more income and greater portfolio diversification.
In the US, active funds attracted more than 37.9% of US fixed income ETF inflows so far in 2025.6 I expect active bond ETFs—which provide investors the ability to adjust duration, credit quality, and sector exposure in real time to capitalize on market conditions—will continue to garner major market share and bring value to portfolios in a range of ways, from core and core-plus strategies to satellite exposures:
Core and core-plus strategies: These strategies usually blend traditional and non-traditional fixed income asset classes to pursue the highest possible return over a full market cycle. With the flexibility to invest in mispriced securities, through active sector allocation and security selection, these strategies may offer better protection against interest rate risk and credit risk than benchmark-linked core or aggregate bond strategies.
Satellite exposures: These exposures are typically more targeted fixed income allocations that complement a portfolio’s core holdings. Focused on specific sectors like high yield, emerging markets, or securitized debt, satellite strategies are often used to enhance yield, diversify risk, or express tactical views in response to evolving market conditions.
On the opposite end of the fixed income ETF spectrum, low-cost fixed income ETFs are attracting substantial assets. In fact, low-cost fixed income ETFs have accounted for 43% of all inflows so far this year.7 That’s no surprise given that fees for fixed income ETFs are 58% lower than their mutual fund peers.8 Fixed income ETFs’ median net expense ratio is just 0.29% versus 0.70% for mutual funds. Active fixed income ETFs’ median net expense ratio is also lower than for active mutual funds, 0.39% versus 0.70%.9
Of course, it’s important to consider the total cost of ownership (TCO)—the expense ratio plus trading and holding costs—for any investment. And, in addition to reducing operating costs, which lowers the expense ratio, ETFs’ unique creation and redemption process also works to reduce TCO because:
The current popularity of active and low-cost ETFs aside, in the future investors are likely to see the emergence of increasingly precise ETF exposures around key fixed income asset classes—investment-grade public and private credit, high-yield debt, securitized products, and CLOs. And as bond yields hover near their highest levels in a generation, I believe there is a real opportunity for outcome-oriented ETFs to drive growth, specifically income funds and exposures that deliver relatively high distributions.