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Is it time to rethink the 60/40 portfolio? How alternatives can help build more resilient portfolios

Explore why it may be time to look beyond the traditional 60/40 portfolio, and how alternatives, especially via ETFs, can offer a fresh way to diversify and strengthen portfolios for the future.

4 min read

While the 60/40 portfolio is arguably the most recognized asset allocation approach in investment management, increased stock and bond correlations have tested the standard since 2022. How can today’s investors access optimal diversification and hedge portfolios against concentration risks? The answer may be through alternative asset classes.

First, what is the 60/40 portfolio?

For decades, the 60/40 portfolio—a mix of 60% stocks and 40% bonds—has been a go-to strategy for investors seeking portfolio diversification. It’s a framework rooted in Modern Portfolio Theory, pioneered by American economist Harry Markowitz, which argues that diversifying across uncorrelated asset classes can improve overall returns while reducing risks.

Historically, the model served investors well. Stocks offered investors growth potential while bonds provided stability and income over the long term. When stocks underperformed, bonds often rallied, smoothing out portfolio losses, and vice versa.

As a result of its simplicity and efficiency, the 60/40 portfolio has been a popular strategy for countless retirement plans, wealth models, and target-date funds. And for many investors, it may still be the go-to strategy even today.

But there are challenges facing the 60/40 portfolio

As market dynamics evolve, the assumptions that underpinned the 60/40 portfolio are being tested:

1. Stocks and bonds can, and do, become positively correlated

The idea underpinning the 60/40 portfolio is that when your stocks are going down, your negatively correlated bonds might go up and smooth out the ride. One of the biggest risks to the 60/40 structure is that the two asset classes sometimes move in lockstep. Back in 2022, both suffered meaningful drawdowns as inflation spiked and interest rates surged. As a result, the 60/40 portfolio delivered one of its worst performances in decades.

In fact, stocks and bonds have now exhibited positive correlation for more than 700 days,1 and that number continues to rise. Adding to the heartburn of checking your portfolio in a troubled market, you’ll find greater losses in many concentrated stock market indices that seemingly magnify the losses from your bonds.

Figure 1: The 60/40 may not offer true diversification

700+

Days of rolling positive correlation across stocks and bonds

10

Stocks account for 33.6% of US S&P 500® market cap

Source: State Street Investment Management, Bloomberg Finance, L.P., MSCI, as of March 31, 2025.

2. Diversification may be deceiving

A basket of stocks and a basket of bonds may seem like true diversification. But when stocks and bonds are moving together, where do you go?

Relying on just two asset classes may not provide the diversified exposure investors truly need, and so it’s important to seek out opportunities for portfolio exposure beyond stocks and bonds to help balance risk across different growth and inflation environments.

3. Risk isn’t evenly distributed

Another misconception of the 60/40 portfolio is that it offers balanced risk. In reality, stocks—in part due to their higher volatility—tend to dominate the portfolio’s risk profile (Figure 2). That means many investors who think they’re diversified may still be taking on more risk than they realize.

What our Chief Investment Strategist says about the 60/40

“What worked under that previous 40-year period [1982-2022]—traditional 60/40 portfolios, for example—will be far less likely to work going forward. And, you may need to modify allocations to more diverse market segments.”
– Michael Arone, Chief Investment Strategist


Get more inside our ETF Impact Report 2025-2026.

Looking beyond the 60/40 portfolio: Meet alternatives

The long-term asset allocation game is still important to play, but the 60/40 playbook may need a refresh—because in today’s market, even the most established pairs can be tested. Increasingly, investors across the board are seeking ways to enhance diversification, reduce correlation risk, and position for new sources of return.

And according to our 2025 ETFs in Focus Study, it looks like alternatives will continue to gain ground (Figure 3).

Figure 3: Alternative allocations are gaining traction, especially among advisors

14%

of investors are allocating to alternative investments

50%

of financial advisors are allocating to alternative investments/strategies to manage portfolio risk

Source: State Street Investment Management Center for Investor Research, 2025 ETFs in Focus Study: Risk Management Attitudes and Behaviors, January/February 2025. Questions asked: How do you approach managing risk in your investment portfolio? (Select all that apply) | Base: Total; What strategies are you currently using to manage portfolio risk? (Select all that apply) | Base: Total

Why? Alternative investments are becoming more accessible through ETFs—and that’s shaking up the traditional portfolio model. Through alternatives, investors can now access a range of non-traditional assets and strategies that may behave differently than stocks and bonds, helping to improve diversification and reduce the risk of asset class correlations.

The growth of alternative ETFs

Investor interest has surged in recent years. In fact, global assets under management hit $148.8 billion by December 2024 (Figure 4),2 reflecting a broader recognition that the traditional 60/40 model may no longer be sufficient on its own.

How alternative investments can help a portfolio

Alternative investments—exposure and strategies once reserved for only the most sophisticated institutional portfolios—are now more accessible than ever, thanks to the rapid rise of alternative ETFs.

These vehicles offer exposure to assets and strategies that behave differently from stocks and bonds (commodities and hedge fund-style approaches, for example). They can help investors spread risk more evenly, tap into uncorrelated return streams, and build portfolios that are more resilient across economic or market regimes.

Where alternative ETF demand is headed

Considering an allocation to alternatives for your portfolio? Here are a few categories available in the ETF wrapper:

Gold

Gold

Gold stands out from other commodities and alternatives, potentially offering more efficient diversification—a benefit that may support treating gold as a unique asset class, with a distinct and independent allocation of its own.

Digital assets

Digital assets

Invest in the growth potential of new disruptive technologies like blockchain and AI—and in companies poised to benefit from the digital asset revolution—with SPDR® Galaxy Digital Asset ETFs.

Bridgewater’s All Weather strategy

Bridgewater’s All Weather strategy

Go beyond traditional asset allocation to balance risk across growth and inflation environments and prepare portfolios for whatever the market brings.

Real assets

Real assets

Consider a multi-asset ETF that allocates to domestic and international inflation-sensitive markets beyond commodities, including: gold, inflation-linked bonds, infrastructure, real estate, and natural resource stocks.

Broad commodities

Broad commodities

Seek the diversification benefits of commodities while also potentially reducing the costs associated with rolling over commodity futures contracts—all in an ETF.

Rethinking the 60/40 portfolio: The time is now

The 60/40 portfolio had its time, and for many years, worked. But today’s market environment—with rising stock-bond correlations, shifting macro trends, and increased market complexity—calls for more flexibility, more diversification, and more tools to help manage risk as investors navigate the road ahead.

While there’s no one-size-fits-all solution, today’s ETF landscape offers cost-efficient, liquid, and diversified access to alternative investments—helping investors build more resilient portfolios in today’s dynamic market.

What’s next for today’s dynamic ETF market?

What’s next for today’s dynamic ETF market?

Explore top trends and bold predictions for the future in our latest ETF Impact Report.

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