Gold: A Potential Valuable Source of Liquidity and Diversification During Extreme Volatility
With global markets navigating the impact of the coronavirus, volatility has stretched across virtually all asset markets, including gold. But analyzing some of gold’s historic patterns in the context of current market turbulence and dislocation, data suggests gold is likely playing an important role for investors, providing a potential valuable source of liquidity during extreme volatility and diversification that can help mitigate portfolio drawdowns.
1 Bloomberg Financial, L.P., & State Street Global Advisors, date as of September 30, 2019.
2 Bloomberg Finance, L.P., & State Street Global Advisors; S&P 500 correlation is from 8/31/1971 to 09/30/2019 and Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index correlation is from 3/31/1976 to 09/30/2019 due to data availability. Source: Bloomberg Finance, L.P., State Street Global Advisors. The correlation coefficient measures the strength and direction of a linear relationship between two variables. It measures the degree to which the deviations of one variable from its mean are related to those of a different variable from its respective mean with 0 being uncorrelated and 1 being perfectly correlated.
3 Estimates based on clearing statistics published by the LBMA, LBMA-i and non-LBMA-i OTC (estimates represent daily averages is US$ billion for Q1’2019), COMEX, SHFE, SGE, LME precious, Dubai Gold & Commodities Exchange, ICE Futures, US Metals, Borsa Istanbul, Bursa Malaysia, Moscow Exchange, and Tokyo Commodity Exchange. Date as of 09/30/2019. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
4 Analysis of Gold’s Historical Performance in Market Downturns. Bloomberg Finance, L.P., State Street Global Advisors, as of September 30, 2019. Notes: 2008 Financial Crisis (06/05/08 – 03/09/09); Black Monday (08/25/87 – 12/04/87); 2002 Recession (03/19/02 – 07/23/02); Dot Com Bubble (09/29/00 – 04/04/01); Gulf War (07/16/90 – 10/11/90); LTCM & Asian Crisis (07/17/98 – 08/31/98);US Credit Downgrade (07/07/11 – 10/03/11); Subprime Meltdown (10/09/07 – 03/10/08); September 11th (08/24/01 – 09/21/01); Flash Crash (04/23/10 – 07/02/10); Trade War/Recession Fears (09/21/18 – 12/26/18); Iraq War (01/14/03 – 03/11/03); End of QE Era(11/03/15 – 02/11/16); Yuan Devaluation (07/20/15 – 08/25/15)Source: Bloomberg Financial L.P. and State Street Global Advisors, Date as of 10/8/2019. Figure represents assets for SPDR Gold Shares and SPDR Gold MiniShares, for which State Street Global Advisors Funds Distributors, LLC serves only as marketing agent.
Important Risk Information
Commodities and commodity-index linked securities may be affected by changes in overall market movements, changes in interest rates, and other factors such as weather, disease, embargoes, or political and regulatory developments, as well as trading activity of speculators and arbitrageurs in the underlying commodities.
The whole or any part of this work may not be reproduced, copied or transmitted or any of its contents disclosed to third parties without SSGA’s express written consent. Nothing on this web page constitutes investment advice and should not be relied upon as such. The value of units in the GLD ETF (the “Fund”) may fall or rise. Past performance of the Fund is not indicative of future performance. Distributions from the Fund are contingent on dividends paid on underlying investments of the Fund and are not guaranteed. Listing of the Fund on the HKEX/ SGX does not guarantee a liquid market for the units and the Fund may be delisted from the HKEX/ SGX. The Fund’s Prospectus is available from State Street Global Advisors or can be downloaded from http://www.spdrgoldshares.com/
The prospectus in respect of the Singapore offer of the shares in the Trust is available and may be obtained upon request from State Street Global Advisors Singapore Limited ("SSGA") (Co. Reg. No: 200002719D). Investors should read the prospectus of the Trust before deciding whether to purchase Shares. Shares in the Trust are not obligations of, deposits in, or guaranteed by, World Gold Trust Services, LLC, SSGA or any of their affiliates. The value of Shares and the income accruing to such Shares may fall or rise. You should consider whether the Trust is suitable for you. If in doubt, you may wish to seek advice from a financial adviser before making a commitment to purchase Shares. Investors have no right to request the Sponsor to redeem their Shares while the Shares are listed. It is intended that holders of Shares may only deal in their Shares through trading on the SGX-ST. Listing of the Shares on the SGX-ST does not guarantee a liquid market for the Shares.
Frequent trading of ETFs could significantly increase commissions and other costs such that they may offset any savings from low fees or costs. ETFs trade like stocks, are subject to investment risk, fluctuate in market value and may trade at prices above or below the ETFs’ net asset value. Brokerage commissions and ETF expenses will reduce returns.
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Diversification does not ensure a profit or guarantee against loss.
Investing in commodities entails significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Singapore: State Street Global Advisors Singapore Limited, 168, Robinson Road, #33-01 Capital Tower, Singapore 068912 (Company Reg. No: 200002719D, regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore). T: +65 6826-7555. F: +65 6826-7501.
All forms of investments carry risks, including the risk of losing all of the invested amount. Such activities may not be suitable for everyone.
The information provided does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investor's particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your tax and financial advisor. All material has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. There is no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information and State Street shall have no liability for decisions based on such information. The whole or any part of this work may not be reproduced, copied or transmitted or any of its contents disclosed to third parties without SSGA’s express written consent.
ETFs trade like stocks, are subject to investment risk, fluctuate in market value and may trade at prices above or below the ETFs net asset value. Brokerage commissions and ETF expenses will reduce returns.
The trademarks and service marks referenced herein are the property of their respective owners. Third party data providers make no warranties or representations of any kind relating to the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of the data and have no liability for damages of any kind relating to the use of such data. Standard & Poor’s®, S&P® and SPDR® are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC (S&P); Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC (Dow Jones); and these trademarks have been licensed for use by S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC (SPDJI) and sublicensed for certain purposes by State Street Corporation. State Street Corporation's financial products are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by SPDJI, Dow Jones, S&P, their respective affiliates and third party licensors and none of such parties make any representation regarding the advisability of investing in such product(s) nor do they have any liability in relation thereto, including for any errors, omissions, or interruptions of any index.
This advertisement or publication has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore