The invasion of Ukraine represents a shock for the global economy, with inflation forecasts revised sharply higher and central banks poised to quicken the pace of monetary policy tightening.
Policy normalization makes sense in this environment, but the aggressive tightening priced in the markets carries risks and threatens prospects for a soft landing.
Emerging Markets Outlook
Fortunes within the emerging markets universe continue to diverge amid reducing commonality in growth drivers. Severe recessions are in store for Russia and Ukraine, while oil producers are benefiting from a trade windfall.
Although EM central banks are further advanced in terms of policy tightening, rising commodity prices and their impact on food costs could pose social stability risks.
Global Capital Markets
Equity markets continue to look attractive despite recent weakness, but with elevated risk regimes and moderating macroeconomic influences, a more cautious stance is warranted.
Fixed income sectors sent increasingly mixed signals as Q1 progressed with high nominal GDP levels suggesting the rise in rate levels may not have exhausted itself yet while slowing PMI levels and elevated inflation point towards lower rates.
Hong Kong: State Street Global Advisors Asia Limited, 68/F, Two International Finance Centre, 8 Finance Street, Central, Hong Kong. T: +852 2103-0288. F: +852 2103-0200.
All forms of investments carry risks, including the risk of losing all of the invested amount. Such activities may not be suitable for everyone. The information provided does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investor’s particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your tax and financial advisor. All material has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The whole or any part of this work may not be reproduced, copied or transmitted or any of its contents disclosed to third parties without SSGA’s express written consent.
ETFs trade like stocks, are subject to investment risk, fluctuate in market value and may trade at prices above or below the ETFs net asset value. Brokerage commissions and ETF expenses will reduce returns. Standard & Poor’s®, S&P® and SPDR® are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC (S&P); Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC (Dow Jones); and these trademarks have been licensed for use by S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC (SPDJI) and sublicensed for certain purposes by State Street Corporation. State Street Corporation's financial products are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by SPDJI, Dow Jones, S&P, their respective affiliates and third party licensors and none of such parties make any representation regarding the advisability of investing in such product(s) nor do they have any liability in relation thereto, including for any errors, omissions, or interruptions of any index.
This website is issued by State Street Global Advisor Asia Limited and has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission ("SFC").