Using Dividend Aristocrats Amid Rising Interest Rates, Inflation
Expectations of higher interest rates and inflation are forcing investors to evaluate their exposure to long-duration growth stocks.
Dividend stocks are inherently shorter duration as they convert today’s earnings into immediate income for shareholders.
Dividend Aristocrats are well positioned for a strategic allocation given their value bias and relatively attractive valuation.
Inflation, Fed policy and the case for dividend stocks
As we discussed in our latest Smart Beta Compass, stocks with a value bias, such as dividend stocks, stand to benefit in 2022. The high inflation prints we have seen in consumer prices (i.e. CPI) since Q2 2021 are leading policy makers to abandon their “transitory inflation” thesis and pursue a tightening of monetary policy in 2022.
The US Federal Reserve’s (“Fed”) plan to both raise interest rates and reduce asset purchases should continue to drive interest rates higher, further compressing the valuation premium of longer-duration (growth) stocks. While the Fed has been clear on its intention to raise interest rates, market speculation around the timing and magnitude of rate hikes is likely to cause short-term volatility.
We believe the fundamental shift in interest rate policy this year makes a strategic allocation to Dividend Aristocrats relatively attractive for three reasons:
The tightening of monetary conditions could likely lead to continued compression of the valuation premium of long-duration equities, such as growth equities.
Dividend stocks are inherently shorter duration as they convert today’s earnings into immediate income for shareholders.
Investors have put money to work in dividend stocks, but these stocks remain under-owned.
The last time the Fed engaged in a policy of coordinated interest rate hikes, USA and Global Dividend Aristocrats strategies outperformed the market benchmark. In the first six months of 2016, following the initial Fed rate hike in December 2015, the USA and Global1 Dividend Aristocrats indices outperformed the MSCI ACWI by 14% and 8.2%, respectively (see Figure 1).
Figure 1: Fed Funds Rate and Index Returns (Trailing 6-Month Returns)
Looking at our Q1 Smart Beta Compass, we can see investors are significantly underweight high dividend yield stocks (on a historical basis), but they are starting to buy. The 60-day and 20-day trend flows into high dividend yield stocks are positive and accelerating from a historically underweight position.
We believe 2022 will offer investors an opportunity in USA and Global dividend stocks, as rising interest rates will continue to be a headwind for growth stocks. While pure value stocks may benefit the most, Dividend Aristocrats can help investors play the value theme while using the stable dividend focus to help protect against short-term volatility.
In addition to the SPDR® S&P® U.S. Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF and SPDR® S&P® Global Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF, we now offer an ESG version of each of these exposures. To learn more about these ETFs, and to view full performance histories, please click the links below to visit their fund pages.
1 The S&P Global Dividend Aristocrats® Quality Income Index was incepted on 4 November 2019. Results prior to this date were calculated by using available data at the time in accordance with the current index methodology.
Information Classification: General Access.
For professional clients use only.
For Investors in Austria: The offering of SPDR ETFs by the Company has been notified to the Financial Markets Authority (FMA) in accordance with section 139 of the Austrian Investment Funds Act. Prospective investors may obtain the current sales Prospectus, the articles of incorporation, the KIID as well as the latest annual and semi-annual report free of charge from State Street Global Advisors Europe Limited, Branch in Germany, Brienner Strasse 59, D-80333 Munich. T: +49 (0)89-55878-400.F: +49 (0)89-55878-440.
For Investors in Finland: The offering of funds by the Companies has been notified to the Financial Supervision Authority in accordance with Section 127 of the Act on Common Funds (29.1.1999/48) and by virtue of confirmation from the Financial Supervision Authority the Companies may publicly distribute their Shares in Finland. Certain information and documents that the Companies must publish in Ireland pursuant to applicable Irish law are translated into Finnish and are available for Finnish investors by contacting State Street Custodial Services (Ireland) Limited, 78 Sir John Rogerson’s Quay, Dublin 2, Ireland.
For Investors in France: This document does not constitute an offer or request to purchase shares in the Company. Any subscription for shares shall be made in accordance with the terms and conditions specified in the complete Prospectus, the KIID, the addenda as well as the Company Supplements. These documents are available from the Company centralizing correspondent: State Street Banque S.A., Coeur Défense - Tour A - La Défense 4 33e étage 100, Esplanade du Général de Gaulle 92 931 Paris La Défense cedex France or on the French part of the site ssga.com/etfs. The Company is an undertaking for collective investment in transferable securities (UCITS) governed by Irish law and accredited by the Central Bank of Ireland as a UCITS in accordance with European Regulations. European Directive no. 2014/91/EU dated 23 July 2014 on UCITS, as amended, established common rules pursuant to the cross-border marketing of UCITS with which they duly comply. This common base does not exclude differentiated implementation. This is why a European UCITS can be sold in France even though its activity does not comply with rules identical to those governing the approval of this type of product in France.The offering of these compartments has been notified to the Autorité des Marchés Financiers (AMF) in accordance with article L214-2-2 of the French Monetary and Financial Code.
For Investors in Germany: The offering of SPDR ETFs by the Companies has been notified to the Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht (BaFin) in accordance with section 312 of the German Investment Act. Prospective investors may obtain the current sales Prospectuses, the articles of incorporation, the KIIDs as well as the latest annual and semi-annual report free of charge from State Street Global Advisors Europe Limited, Branch in Germany, Brienner Strasse 59, D-80333 Munich. Telephone: +49 (0)89-55878-400. Facsimile: +49 (0)89-55878-440.
Ireland: State Street Global Advisors Europe Limited is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland. Registered office address 78 Sir John Rogerson’s Quay, Dublin 2. Registered Number: 49934. T: +353 (0)1 776 3000. F: +353 (0)1 776 3300.
Israel: No action has been taken or will be taken in Israel that would permit a public offering of the Securities or distribution of this sales brochure to the public in Israel. This sales brochure has not been approved by the Israel Securities Authority (the ‘ISA’).
Accordingly, the Securities shall only be sold in Israel to an investor of the type listed in the First Schedule to the Israeli Securities Law, 1978, which has confirmed in writing that it falls within one of the categories listed therein (accompanied by external confirmation where this is required under ISA guidelines), that it is aware of the implications of being considered such an investor and consents thereto, and further that the Securities are being purchased for its own account and not for the purpose of re-sale or distribution.
This sales brochure may not be reproduced or used for any other purpose, nor be furnished to any other person other than those to whom copies have been sent.
Nothing in this sales brochure should be considered investment advice or investment marketing as defined in the Regulation of Investment Advice, Investment Marketing and Portfolio Management Law, 1995 (“the Investment Advice Law”). Investors are encouraged to seek competent investment advice from a locally licensed investment advisor prior to making any investment. State Street is not licensed under the Investment Advice Law, nor does it carry the insurance as required of a licensee thereunder.
This sales brochure does not constitute an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy any securities other than the Securities offered hereby, nor does it constitute an offer to sell to or solicitation of an offer to buy from any person or persons in any state or other jurisdiction in which such offer or solicitation would be unlawful, or in which the person making such offer or solicitation is not qualified to do so, or to a person or persons to whom it is unlawful to make such offer or solicitation.
Italy: State Street Global Advisors Europe Limited, Italy Branch (“State Street Global Advisors Italy”) is a branch of State Street Global Advisors Europe Limited, registered in Ireland with company number 49934, authorised and regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland, and whose registered office is at 78 Sir John Rogerson’s Quay, Dublin 2. State Street Global Advisors Italy is registered in Italy with company number 11871450968 - REA: 2628603 and VAT number 11871450968, and its office is located at Via Ferrante Aporti, 10 - 20125 Milan, Italy. T: +39 02 32066 100. F: +39 02 32066 155.
For Investors in Luxemburg: The Companies have been notified to the Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier in Luxembourg in order to market its shares for sale to the public in Luxembourg and the Companies are notified Undertakings in Collective Investment for Transferable Securities (UCITS).
Netherlands: This communication is directed at qualified investors within the meaning of Section 2:72 of the Dutch Financial Markets Supervision Act (Wet op het financieel toezicht) as amended. The products and services to which this communication relates are only available to such persons and persons of any other description should not rely on this communication. Distribution of this document does not trigger a licence requirement for the Companies or SSGA in the Netherlands and consequently no prudential and conduct of business supervision will be exercised over the Companies or SSGA by the Dutch Central Bank (De Nederlandsche Bank N.V.) and the Dutch Authority for the Financial Markets (Stichting Autoriteit Financiële Markten). The Companies have completed their notification to the Authority Financial Markets in the Netherlands in order to market their shares for sale to the public in the Netherlands and the Companies are, accordingly, investment institutions (beleggingsinstellingen) according to Section 2:72 Dutch Financial Markets Supervision Act of Investment Institutions.
Norway: The offering of SPDR ETFs by the Companies has been notified to the Financial Supervisory Authority of Norway (Finanstilsynet) in accordance with applicable Norwegian Securities Funds legislation. By virtue of a confirmation letter from the Financial Supervisory Authority dated 28 March 2013 (16 October 2013 for umbrella II) the Companies may market and sell their shares in Norway.
For Investors in Spain: State Street Global Advisors SPDR ETFs Europe I and II plc have been authorised for public distribution in Spain and are registered with the Spanish Securities Market Commission (Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores) under no.1244 and no.1242. Before investing, investors may obtain a copy of the Prospectus and Key Investor Information Documents, the Marketing Memoranda, the fund rules or instruments of incorporation as well as the annual and semi-annual reports of State Street Global Advisors SPDR ETFs Europe I and II plc from Cecabank, S.A. Alcalá 27, 28014 Madrid (Spain) who is the Spanish Representative, Paying Agent and distributor in Spain or at spdrs.com. The authorised Spanish distributor of State Street Global Advisors SPDR ETFs is available on the website of the Securities Market Commission (Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores).
Switzerland: The collective investment schemes referred to herein are collective investment schemes under Irish law. Prospective investors may obtain the current sales prospectus, the articles of incorporation, the KIID as well as the latest annual and semi-annual reports free of charge from the Swiss Representative and Paying Agent, State Street Bank International GmbH, Munich, Zurich Branch, Beethovenstr. 19, 8027 Zurich, as well as from the main distributor in Switzerland, State Street Global Advisors AG, Beethovenstrasse 19, 8027 Zurich. Before investing please read the prospectus and the KIID, copies of which can be obtained from the Swiss representative, or at ssga.com.
United Kingdom: The Funds have been registered for distribution in the UK pursuant to the UK’s temporary permissions regime under regulation 62 of the Collective Investment Schemes (Amendment etc.) (EU Exit) Regulations 2019. The Funds are directed at 'professional clients' in the UK (as defined in rules made under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000) who are deemed both knowledgeable and experienced in matters relating to investments. The products and services to which this communication relates are only available to such persons and persons of any other description should not rely on this communication. Many of the protections provided by the UK regulatory system do not apply to the operation of the Funds, and compensation will not be available under the UK Financial Services Compensation Scheme.
This document has been issued by State Street Global Advisors Europe Limited (“SSGAEL”), regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland. Registered office address 78 Sir John Rogerson’s Quay, Dublin 2. Registered number 145221. T: +353 (0)1 776 3000. Fax: +353 (0)1 776 3300. Web: ssga.com.
SPDR ETFs is the exchange traded funds (“ETF”) platform of State Street Global Advisors and is comprised of funds that have been authorised by Central Bank of Ireland as open-ended UCITS investment companies.
State Street Global Advisors SPDR ETFs Europe I & II plc issue SPDR ETFs, and is an open-ended investment company with variable capital having segregated liability between its sub-funds. The Company is organised as an Undertaking for Collective Investments in Transferable Securities (UCITS) under the laws of Ireland and authorised as a UCITS by the Central Bank of Ireland.
The information provided does not constitute investment advice as such term is defined under the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (2014/65/EU) or applicable Swiss regulation and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell any investment. It does not take into account any investor's or potential investor’s particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status, risk appetite or investment horizon. If you require investment advice you should consult your tax and financial or other professional advisor.
All information is from SSGA unless otherwise noted and has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. There is no representation or warranty as to the current accuracy, reliability or completeness of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information and it should not be relied on as such.
ETFs trade like stocks, are subject to investment risk and will fluctuate in market value. The investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate in value, so that when shares are sold or redeemed, they may be worth more or less than when they were purchased. Although shares may be bought or sold on an exchange through any brokerage account, shares are not individually redeemable from the fund. Investors may acquire shares and tender them for redemption through the fund in large aggregations known as “creation units.” Please see the fund’s prospectus for more details.
The trademarks and service marks referenced herein are the property of their respective owners. Third party data providers make no warranties or representations of any kind relating to the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of the data and have no liability for damages of any kind relating to the use of such data.
The views expressed in this material are the views of SPDR EMEA Strategy & Research through the period ending 17 February 2022 and are subject to change based on market and other conditions. This document contains certain statements that may be deemed forward-looking statements. Please note that any such statements are not guarantees of any future performance and actual results or developments may differ materially from those projected.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Investing involves risk including the risk of loss of principal.
This information should not be considered a recommendation to invest in a particular sector or to buy or sell any security shown. It is not known whether the sectors or securities shown will be profitable in the future.
Equity securities may fluctuate in value in response to the activities of individual companies and general market and economic conditions.
The returns on a portfolio of securities which exclude companies that do not meet the portfolio's specified ESG criteria may trail the returns on a portfolio of securities which include such companies. A portfolio's ESG criteria may result in the portfolio investing in industry sectors or securities which underperform the market as a whole.
Standard & Poor’s, S&P and SPDR are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC (S&P); Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC (Dow Jones); and these trademarks have been licensed for use by S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC (SPDJI) and sublicensed for certain purposes by State Street Corporation. State Street Corporation’s financial products are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by SPDJI, Dow Jones, S&P, their respective affiliates and third party licensors and none of such parties make any representation regarding the advisability of investing in such product(s) nor do they have any liability in relation thereto, including for any errors, omissions, or interruptions of any index.
The whole or any part of this work may not be reproduced, copied or transmitted or any of its contents disclosed to third parties without SSGA’s express written consent.
The information contained in this communication is not a research recommendation or ‘investment research’ and is classified as a ‘Marketing Communication’ in accordance with the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (2014/65/EU) or applicable Swiss Regulation. This means that this marketing communication (a) has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research (b) is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.
Investing in foreign domiciled securities may involve risk of capital loss from unfavourable fluctuation in currency values, withholding taxes, from differences in generally accepted accounting principles or from economic or political instability in other nations. Investments in emerging or developing markets may be more volatile and less liquid than investing in developed markets and may involve exposure to economic structures that are generally less diverse and mature and to political systems which have less stability than those of more developed countries.
Please refer to the Fund’s latest Key Investor Information Document and Prospectus before making any final investment decision. The latest English version of the prospectus and the KIID can be found at www.ssga.com.
A summary of investor rights can be found here: https://www.ssga.com/library-content/products/fund-docs/summary-of-investor-rights/ssga-spdr-investors-rights-summary.pdf
Note that the Management Company may decide to terminate the arrangements made for marketing and proceed with de-notification in compliance with Article 93a of Directive 2009/65/EC
La plateforme SPDR ETF est l'outil développé par State Street Global Advisors pour traiter les «exchange traded funds» (ci après «ETFs»; elle se compose de fonds autorisés par les Autorités de Surveillance européennes comme sociétés d'investissement OPCVM ouverts. Il est possible que les SPDR ETFs ne soient pas disponibles ou ne vous conviennent pas.
Les ETFs sont négociés comme des actions; ils sont exposés aux risques de placement, fluctuent selon les conditions du marché et peuvent être traités à des cours supérieurs ou inférieurs à leur valeur nette d'inventaire. Les commissions de courtage et les coûts inhérents aux ETF impliquent une réduction des rendements.
Les fluctuations des taux de change peuvent avoir un effet défavorable sur la valeur, le cours ou les revenus d'un fonds. Rien ne permet en outre de garantir qu'un ETF réalisera son objectif de placement.
LES ACTIONS DES COMPARTIMENTS DE LA SICAV SPDR® ETF, SSGA SPDR ETFS EUROPE I PLC ET SSGA SPDR ETFS EUROPE II PLC POURRAIENT CONSTITUTER UN INVESTISSEMENT NON DISPONIBLE POUR VOUS ET/OU NON ADAPTE A VOTRE SITUATION. LES INFORMATIONS CONTENUES SUR CE SITE NE SAURAIENT CONSTITUER UN CONSEIL EN INVESTISSEMENT. EN CAS DE DOUTE, L'AVIS D'UN CONSEIL INDEPENDANT DOIT ETRE RECHERCHE PAR L'UTILISATEUR. AUCUNE INFORMATION ET AUCUNE OPINION FIGURANT SUR CE SITE NE SAURAIT CONSTITUER UNE OFFRE, UNE SOLLICITATION OU UN DEMARCHAGE EN VUE DE LA SOUSCRIPTION, DE L'ACHAT OU DE LA VENTE DES ACTIONS DES FONDS OU DE TOUT AUTRE INSTRUMENT FINANCIER.
Standard & Poor's®, S&P® et SPDR® sont des marques déposées de Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC (S&P) ; Dow Jones est une marque déposée de Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC (Dow Jones), et ces marques ont été concédées sous licence d'utilisation à S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC (SPDJI) et pour octroi de sous-licences à certaines fins par State Street Corporation. Les produits financiers de State Street Corporation ne sauraient être financés, vendus ou promus par SPDJI, Dow Jones, S&P, leurs sociétés affiliées respectives et, et nulle desdites parties ne saurait faire valoir l'opportunité d'investir dans le ou lesdits produits, ni ne saurait engager une quelconque responsabilité à cet égard, en ce compris les erreurs, omissions ou interruptions rattachées à quelque indice que ce soit.
Les SPDR ETFs ne peuvent être offerts et vendus que dans les juridictions où cela est autorisé conformément aux dispositions légales en vigueur.
Informations relatives au Mexique
Les informations figurant dans ce document ne constituent en aucun cas une offre de titres financiers et ne sauraient être considérées comme telles. Les Fonds mentionnés dans ce document ne sont et ne seront pas agréés en vertu de la Mexican Securities Market Law (Ley del Mercado de Valores). Ils ne peuvent faire l’objet d’aucune offre publique, pas plus qu’ils ne peuvent être vendus sur le territoire des États-Unis d’Amérique. Il est interdit de distribuer publiquement les documents informatifs liés aux fonds susmentionnés sur le territoire du Mexique, tout comme il est interdit d’y échanger des parts des Fonds.
Avant tout investissement, vous devriez vous procurer et lire le prospectus et le DICI traitant des SPDR ETFs. Les personnes résidant dans les pays où les SPDR ETFs sont autorisés à la vente trouveront en outre de plus amples informations ainsi que le prospectus/DICI comportant des détails sur les caractéristiques, les coûts et les risques des SPDR ETFs à l'adresse vendita sul sito SPDRs et auprès de l'agence SSGA locale.