In the US, the Fed’s recent messaging has stamped out any hopes of a dovish pivot. Europe also faces further rate rises as the ECB tries to combat inflation. Japan, on the other hand, has shown remarkable resilience to inflation, allowing the BoJ to maintain its dovish stance.
The yen has depreciated, which could support Japanese companies given half of revenues for the MSCI Japan come from outside the country. Valuations for Japanese companies look favourable, despite relative outperformance this year.
Amid Further Hawkishness, Seek Out Regions with Accommodative Policies
US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s speech, at the Jackson Hole Symposium, swiftly removed any hopes that the Fed will turn dovish in the coming months. As a result, US equity markets quickly reversed the gains that were posted earlier in August. Meanwhile, Europe is awaiting a potential 75bps rate from the ECB. As policymakers’ commitment to fight inflation has dampened market sentiment, we believe investors could seek out regions that are less affected by the challenges related to rising prices and monetary tightening.
Japanese resilience to inflation, in CPI terms, has been remarkable so far this year. Economists expect CPI to average 2.0%,1 which is significantly below the high single digit numbers expected for both Europe and the US. Low inflation allows the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to remain on its dovish course and keep its key rates around 0. This scenario enables companies to access cheap financing and supports equity valuations that, despite relative outperformance this year, remain undemanding with 12-month forward earnings yield at 8.2%.2
The divergence of the BoJ’s approach has led to sharp depreciation of the yen, which trades around a two-decade low against the US dollar. While currency is always a double-edged sword, we continue to expect a weak yen to act as a supportive factor, given nearly 50%3 of revenue for companies within MSCI Japan comes from outside the country. This environment allows businesses using US dollar-denominated contracts to benefit already in the revenue line while global companies, which generate revenue and bear costs in foreign currencies, should see a positive impact upon translating bottom line earnings to weaker yen. The negative effect of a depreciated currency on local demand is mitigated by fiscal spending from a record state budget of JPY 107.6 trillion.
The gradual loosening of COVID restrictions has allowed Japan to benefit further from certain reopening dynamics, particularly in tourism, which may also impact the broader service sector to some extent. And the weak yen certainly makes Japan an interesting destination for tourists and investors alike.
Figure 1: USD/JPY Exchange Rate
Figure 2: MSCI Japan Revenue Split by Region*
A Quality Dividend Approach Could Provide a Buffer Against Volatility in APAC
For investors seeking exposure to Japanese equities, or the wider Asia Pacific region, but who are worried about short-term volatility, a Dividend Aristocrats® approach should be considered. The SPDR S&P Pan Asia Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF offers investors the opportunity to play a long Asia Pacific exposure with a higher indicative dividend yield of 4.59% (a 178bps premium to the market benchmark MSCI All Country Asia Pacific Index).4 While the ETF is nearly neutral on Japanese equities overall, the stock selection within Japan tends to lean more defensive, toward sectors such as real estate.
1 Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., as of 31 August 2022 (Contributor Composite).
2 Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., as of 31 August 2022.
3 Source: FactSet, as of 31 August 2022. Revenue weighted by market cap of constituents.
4 Source: FactSet, as of 31 August 2022.
Information Classification: General Access.
For professional clients use only.
For Investors in Austria: The offering of SPDR ETFs by the Company has been notified to the Financial Markets Authority (FMA) in accordance with section 139 of the Austrian Investment Funds Act. Prospective investors may obtain the current sales Prospectus, the articles of incorporation, the KIID as well as the latest annual and semi-annual report free of charge from State Street Global Advisors Europe Limited, Branch in Germany, Brienner Strasse 59, D-80333 Munich. T: +49 (0)89-55878-400.F: +49 (0)89-55878-440.
For Investors in Finland: The offering of funds by the Companies has been notified to the Financial Supervision Authority in accordance with Section 127 of the Act on Common Funds (29.1.1999/48) and by virtue of confirmation from the Financial Supervision Authority the Companies may publicly distribute their Shares in Finland. Certain information and documents that the Companies must publish in Ireland pursuant to applicable Irish law are translated into Finnish and are available for Finnish investors by contacting State Street Custodial Services (Ireland) Limited, 78 Sir John Rogerson’s Quay, Dublin 2, Ireland.
For Investors in France: This document does not constitute an offer or request to purchase shares in the Company. Any subscription for shares shall be made in accordance with the terms and conditions specified in the complete Prospectus, the KIID, the addenda as well as the Company Supplements. These documents are available from the Company centralizing correspondent: State Street Banque S.A., Coeur Défense - Tour A - La Défense 4 33e étage 100, Esplanade du Général de Gaulle 92 931 Paris La Défense cedex France or on the French part of the site ssga.com/etfs. The Company is an undertaking for collective investment in transferable securities (UCITS) governed by Irish law and accredited by the Central Bank of Ireland as a UCITS in accordance with European Regulations. European Directive no. 2014/91/EU dated 23 July 2014 on UCITS, as amended, established common rules pursuant to the cross-border marketing of UCITS with which they duly comply. This common base does not exclude differentiated implementation. This is why a European UCITS can be sold in France even though its activity does not comply with rules identical to those governing the approval of this type of product in France.The offering of these compartments has been notified to the Autorité des Marchés Financiers (AMF) in accordance with article L214-2-2 of the French Monetary and Financial Code.
For Investors in Germany: The offering of SPDR ETFs by the Companies has been notified to the Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht (BaFin) in accordance with section 312 of the German Investment Act. Prospective investors may obtain the current sales Prospectuses, the articles of incorporation, the KIIDs as well as the latest annual and semi-annual report free of charge from State Street Global Advisors Europe Limited, Branch in Germany, Brienner Strasse 59, D-80333 Munich. Telephone: +49 (0)89-55878-400. Facsimile: +49 (0)89-55878-440.
Israel: No action has been taken or will be taken in Israel that would permit a public offering of the Securities or distribution of this sales brochure to the public in Israel. This sales brochure has not been approved by the Israel Securities Authority (the ‘ISA’).
Accordingly, the Securities shall only be sold in Israel to an investor of the type listed in the First Schedule to the Israeli Securities Law, 1978, which has confirmed in writing that it falls within one of the categories listed therein (accompanied by external confirmation where this is required under ISA guidelines), that it is aware of the implications of being considered such an investor and consents thereto, and further that the Securities are being purchased for its own account and not for the purpose of re-sale or distribution.
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This sales brochure does not constitute an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy any securities other than the Securities offered hereby, nor does it constitute an offer to sell to or solicitation of an offer to buy from any person or persons in any state or other jurisdiction in which such offer or solicitation would be unlawful, or in which the person making such offer or solicitation is not qualified to do so, or to a person or persons to whom it is unlawful to make such offer or solicitation.
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For Investors in Luxemburg: The Companies have been notified to the Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier in Luxembourg in order to market its shares for sale to the public in Luxembourg and the Companies are notified Undertakings in Collective Investment for Transferable Securities (UCITS).
Netherlands: This communication is directed at qualified investors within the meaning of Section 2:72 of the Dutch Financial Markets Supervision Act (Wet op het financieel toezicht) as amended. The products and services to which this communication relates are only available to such persons and persons of any other description should not rely on this communication. Distribution of this document does not trigger a licence requirement for the Companies or SSGA in the Netherlands and consequently no prudential and conduct of business supervision will be exercised over the Companies or SSGA by the Dutch Central Bank (De Nederlandsche Bank N.V.) and the Dutch Authority for the Financial Markets (Stichting Autoriteit Financiële Markten). The Companies have completed their notification to the Authority Financial Markets in the Netherlands in order to market their shares for sale to the public in the Netherlands and the Companies are, accordingly, investment institutions (beleggingsinstellingen) according to Section 2:72 Dutch Financial Markets Supervision Act of Investment Institutions.
Norway: The offering of SPDR ETFs by the Companies has been notified to the Financial Supervisory Authority of Norway (Finanstilsynet) in accordance with applicable Norwegian Securities Funds legislation. By virtue of a confirmation letter from the Financial Supervisory Authority dated 28 March 2013 (16 October 2013 for umbrella II) the Companies may market and sell their shares in Norway.
For Investors in Spain: State Street Global Advisors SPDR ETFs Europe I and II plc have been authorised for public distribution in Spain and are registered with the Spanish Securities Market Commission (Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores) under no.1244 and no.1242. Before investing, investors may obtain a copy of the Prospectus and Key Investor Information Documents, the Marketing Memoranda, the fund rules or instruments of incorporation as well as the annual and semi-annual reports of State Street Global Advisors SPDR ETFs Europe I and II plc from Cecabank, S.A. Alcalá 27, 28014 Madrid (Spain) who is the Spanish Representative, Paying Agent and distributor in Spain or at spdrs.com. The authorised Spanish distributor of State Street Global Advisors SPDR ETFs is available on the website of the Securities Market Commission (Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores).
Switzerland: The collective investment schemes referred to herein are collective investment schemes under Irish law. Prospective investors may obtain the current sales prospectus, the articles of incorporation, the KIID as well as the latest annual and semi-annual reports free of charge from the Swiss Representative and Paying Agent, State Street Bank International GmbH, Munich, Zurich Branch, Beethovenstr. 19, 8027 Zurich, as well as from the main distributor in Switzerland, State Street Global Advisors AG, Beethovenstrasse 19, 8027 Zurich. Before investing please read the prospectus and the KIID, copies of which can be obtained from the Swiss representative, or at ssga.com.
United Kingdom: The Funds have been registered for distribution in the UK pursuant to the UK’s temporary permissions regime under regulation 62 of the Collective Investment Schemes (Amendment etc.) (EU Exit) Regulations 2019. The Funds are directed at 'professional clients' in the UK (as defined in rules made under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000) who are deemed both knowledgeable and experienced in matters relating to investments. The products and services to which this communication relates are only available to such persons and persons of any other description should not rely on this communication. Many of the protections provided by the UK regulatory system do not apply to the operation of the Funds, and compensation will not be available under the UK Financial Services Compensation Scheme.
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SPDR ETFs is the exchange traded funds (“ETF”) platform of State Street Global Advisors and is comprised of funds that have been authorised by Central Bank of Ireland as open-ended UCITS investment companies.
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La plateforme SPDR ETF est l'outil développé par State Street Global Advisors pour traiter les «exchange traded funds» (ci après «ETFs»; elle se compose de fonds autorisés par les Autorités de Surveillance européennes comme sociétés d'investissement OPCVM ouverts. Il est possible que les SPDR ETFs ne soient pas disponibles ou ne vous conviennent pas.
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Les fluctuations des taux de change peuvent avoir un effet défavorable sur la valeur, le cours ou les revenus d'un fonds. Rien ne permet en outre de garantir qu'un ETF réalisera son objectif de placement.
LES ACTIONS DES COMPARTIMENTS DE LA SICAV SPDR® ETF, SSGA SPDR ETFS EUROPE I PLC ET SSGA SPDR ETFS EUROPE II PLC POURRAIENT CONSTITUTER UN INVESTISSEMENT NON DISPONIBLE POUR VOUS ET/OU NON ADAPTE A VOTRE SITUATION. LES INFORMATIONS CONTENUES SUR CE SITE NE SAURAIENT CONSTITUER UN CONSEIL EN INVESTISSEMENT. EN CAS DE DOUTE, L'AVIS D'UN CONSEIL INDEPENDANT DOIT ETRE RECHERCHE PAR L'UTILISATEUR. AUCUNE INFORMATION ET AUCUNE OPINION FIGURANT SUR CE SITE NE SAURAIT CONSTITUER UNE OFFRE, UNE SOLLICITATION OU UN DEMARCHAGE EN VUE DE LA SOUSCRIPTION, DE L'ACHAT OU DE LA VENTE DES ACTIONS DES FONDS OU DE TOUT AUTRE INSTRUMENT FINANCIER.
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Informations relatives au Mexique
Les informations figurant dans ce document ne constituent en aucun cas une offre de titres financiers et ne sauraient être considérées comme telles. Les Fonds mentionnés dans ce document ne sont et ne seront pas agréés en vertu de la Mexican Securities Market Law (Ley del Mercado de Valores). Ils ne peuvent faire l’objet d’aucune offre publique, pas plus qu’ils ne peuvent être vendus sur le territoire des États-Unis d’Amérique. Il est interdit de distribuer publiquement les documents informatifs liés aux fonds susmentionnés sur le territoire du Mexique, tout comme il est interdit d’y échanger des parts des Fonds.
Avant tout investissement, vous devriez vous procurer et lire le prospectus et le DICI traitant des SPDR ETFs. Les personnes résidant dans les pays où les SPDR ETFs sont autorisés à la vente trouveront en outre de plus amples informations ainsi que le prospectus/DICI comportant des détails sur les caractéristiques, les coûts et les risques des SPDR ETFs à l'adresse vendita sul sito SPDRs et auprès de l'agence SSGA locale.