From a Lifetime of Saving to an Income for Life
The DC industry has made great strides helping individuals save for retirement. However, DC investors must determine how to convert their accumulated assets into a steady source of post-retirement income. This income needs to deliver against two seemingly incompatible objectives – providing flexibility in case spending changes, while also ensuring the income lasts a lifetime.
Guest contributor Don Ezra outlines the key tools to achieve both.
The DC industry has made great strides to help individuals save for retirement. Unlike their DB counterparts, however, DC participants must determine how to convert their accumulated assets into a steady source of post-retirement income. This income needs to deliver against two seemingly incompatible objectives – providing flexibility and also ensuring the income lasts a lifetime.
To better understand what’s behind these objectives and potential ways to meet them, we asked Don Ezra to share his insights. Don spent his working life helping retirement plans to deliver better outcomes for their participants. Having graduated from full-time work, he now thinks about the income puzzle from a retiree perspective.
Don, what do you see as being the key income concerns faced by retirees?
The concerns tend to start in a budding retiree’s 50s, and they’re of two kinds. One is psychological: 'what am I going to do?' Or sometimes even deeper, for those who are defined by their work: 'who am I?' The other is an income-related concern: 'will I outlive my savings?'
Together these are so distressing that they can affect the worker’s productivity. It’s valuable to an employer’s bottom line to help workers become more content with their retirement prospects by being more knowledgeable.
And what are the main components required to improve retirement prospects?
I believe that safety, growth and longevity insurance are the three financial goals that retirees have (even if the vast majority don’t realize it!).
These seem like very different goals, do you think they can be complimentary?
Yes they can; indeed, they must be, to reassure retirees. Longevity insurance ensures that they don’t outlive their assets. Growth gives them the chance of increasing their assets during the often long period of retirement. And safety means that they don’t have the fear of suddenly being told, “Hey, the market’s falling, turn back your spending dial.”
In your experience, how can these goals practically be achieved?
They’re three separate goals, and so ideally three separate tools are needed to achieve them. Trying to use a single tool for two or more of the goals typically just compromises the goals.
In fact, the use of separate tools is exactly what makes the goals complimentary. Of course, it’s crucial to determine what proportion of assets to devote to each tool; that’s the most important decision to make. In turn, that means the key is to determine budding retirees’ preferences and deliver a solution that simplifies the shift from working to post-work life.
Tools for Sustainable Retirement Income
1. Maintain a cash reserve
It is impossible to anticipate everything, unexpected expenses will likely arise in retirement. During a working career, it is typically advised to set aside perhaps six months of spending for this purpose. This translates (very roughly) to 2-3% of assets for a retiree with no guaranteed income stream.1
2. Seek longevity insurance
This will provide ongoing income beyond the participant’s life expectancy. This is achievable in two ways:
A. Deferred Annuities (Income stream that commences later in retirement) — A premium is paid over time for a guaranteed income2 that a retiree receives upon reaching a set age, such as 80 or 85. As shown in the chart below, for a couple aged 65/60 the cost might be as little as one-quarter of the cost of guaranteeing a lifetime income that starts right away. The remainder is then available for investments that target growth and safety.
B. If deferred annuities are not available, retirees could also refer to longevity tables to approximate income needs. They can identify the timeframe for which the chance is only (let’s say) 25% that at least one of the couple will survive a particular length of time. That would give a 75% chance of success. For our 65/60 couple this might be 35 years. Calculate how much income on an annual, monthly or weekly basis is likely to be sustainable over that period. If either or both of the couple approach age 80 or 85, are still going strong and don’t have longevity insurance, then it may be time to buy an annuity that starts immediately to lock in a lifetime income. By then the odds are that they won’t be seeking to grow their lifestyle any further.
3. Investing for growth and safety
By retaining some savings, retirees can aim to achieve investment returns from assets such as equities. But wait, what about safety?
Equity values fluctuate, and retirees don’t want spending to have to vary in sync. One solution is to blend, say, five years of spending in fixed income instruments such as short-term credit. The objective is that each year retirees will be able to sell some of the equities into these lower-risk assets. Of course, if equities have declined, they do not want to sell them and lock in the loss. But giving the market five years to recover typically works well. Between 1928-2015, for example, the real return on the S&P500 was positive in 76% of consecutive five year periods.3
- Can reduce the potential that retirees might outlive their assets.
- Can provide greater certainty about the amount they can comfortably spend.
- Can help to manage investments through market fluctuations.
There is still work to be done to help workers transition from saving for retirement to meeting their income needs in retirement. At first glance, it may seem that the goals of achieving income security and flexibility are incompatible. However, a range of tools can be engaged in a complimentary way to better balance those objectives for a more sustainable lifelong income.
About Don Ezra
Don Ezra is the former co-chairman of global consulting for Russell Investments worldwide. In 2010, he graduated (rather than retired) from a long career advising retirement plans across the world - from the US to UK, Netherlands and Australia.
Don is a widely published author, with books including 'The Retirement Plan Solution – The Reinvention of DC' (2009) and most recently 'Happiness: The Best is Yet to Come' (2014).
Visit www.donezra.com for more on his insights and research.