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    Updated 2022 Global Market Outlook. As central banks accelerate monetary policy normalization, the risk of a policy mistake is rising, as are potential recession risks.

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    Global Market Outlook

    December 6, 2021

    Continuing the Climb

    While the world maintains its focus on the battle against Covid-19, there are reasons for optimism in the months ahead. But as we continue the climb past peak growth and peak policy accommodation, many risks to the outlook remain.

    Outlooks

    Macroeconomic

    Life After Peak Growth and Peak Policy Accommodation

    Above-potential growth will persist in an uneven and multi-layered recovery.

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    Fixed Income Market

    Hawkish Central Banks to Pressure Rates Higher

    Increases in short-term yields are likely, though long-term yields will remain anchored.

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    Equities Market

    Earnings Growth to Boost Equities Despite Market Volatility

    European equities will benefit from more attractive valuations and a skew toward cyclicals.

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    Investment Themes

    Fixed Income

    Getting the Most Out of Fixed Income

    Income, liquidity, and diversification goals are still achievable in a low-rate world.

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    ESG

    Keeping Pace with the Climate Transition

    The transition to a low-carbon economy could occur faster than investors may think.

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    China

    Why It’s Time to Reconsider Your China Exposure

    The size of the market and the magnitude of the opportunity require a dedicated China approach.

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    Quick Take

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    Global Chief Investment Officer, Lori Heinel, CFA discusses the three themes investors should keep an eye on in 2022.

    Video (01:43)

    Meet the Authors

    Lori Heinel, CFA

    Global Chief Investment Officer

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    Gaurav Mallik

    Chief Investment Strategist

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    Simona M Mocuta

    Chief Economist

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    About the Outlook

    As investment challenges grow more complex, State Street’s Global Market Outlook was created to alert investors to portfolio risks and opportunities in the coming year, based on the research of our investment teams. Research on near-term and longer-term market issues is at the heart of who we are as investors. It drives the kinds of outcome oriented portfolios we create for clients, drawing on the full range of our indexed and active solutions, as well as our asset allocation expertise.

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