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Our longer-term asset class forecasts are forward-looking estimates of total return and risk premia, generated through a combined assessment of current valuation measures, economic growth, inflation prospects, ESG considerations, yield conditions as well as historical price patterns. We also include shorter-term return forecasts that incorporate output from our multi-factor tactical asset allocation models. Outlined below is the process we use to arrive at our return forecasts for the major asset classes.

21 October 2020

US Election


This is Part IV of a mini-series that looks at the US Presidential Elections. Parts I, II and III assessed macroeconomic, broad asset class and equity sector implications. This month, we will publish a comprehensive and in-depth report on equity market performances relative to past elections as well as expected moves this cycle.

04 September 2020

This in-depth research paper provides an overview of current polling sentiment in the US, along with a historical look at how markets behave during election cycles. The authors also lay out the key policy areas and themes for the upcoming US presidential election, and the implications for investors. The paper concludes with potential election scenarios and implementation ideas.

10 September 2020

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