Market volatility has made a noticeable return, capturing the attention of investors and dominating headlines. Economic conditions, political events, and changes in investor sentiment can trigger increased volatility. Recent announcements of new tariffs and the confusion this has caused has significantly impacted market stability, from daily spikes in the Volatility Index (VIX) and single-day market drops reminiscent of the COVID-19 pandemic. Listening to the news alone can feel like a financial rollercoaster.
Volatile markets can lead to impulsive decisions about your portfolio. While it's natural to want to act, hasty decisions are rarely wise, especially in the current uncertain macro environment where the final outcome is very much unknown. To navigate this uncertainty, we recommend a simple 3 step framework to help stay the course.
Economic fluctuations and market corrections are inherent aspects of investing, and historical trends indicate that markets typically rebound. It has been shown that staying committed, remaining invested with conviction in a long-term strategy that aligns with your objectives, risk tolerance, and investment horizon can be an effective approach. When market challenges and volatility arise, it's crucial to stay focused as staying invested yields rewards. Timing the market can come at great cost when not implemented through a risk-controlled manner or with the adequate skillset. Especially with larger swings - as accurately predicting when the market will sharply decline or rebound is challenging. Often time in the market has proven to be more effective than timing the market. Conviction is critical in terms of investment choices, it transforms short-term turbulence from a source of panic into a test of discipline.
Media coverage around markets is ubiquitous, with every shift or headline tempting investors to react, abandoning their financial plans or investment strategies. While it can be challenging, advisers who can tune out the noise and keep their clients focused while giving them confidence and setting realistic expectations, have been consistently rewarded. Redirecting focus from short-term outcomes to long-term strategies significantly influences how investors react to market declines. Don't get caught up in the daily noise as short-term market fluctuations often trigger emotional responses and impulsive decisions such as selling off investments or moving to cash, which can be detrimental to portfolio returns. Managing emotions and removing them from the investing equation, particularly in the short term, is crucial. After all, investing should be more about strategy than stress.
Studies show that asset allocation within a portfolio is widely recognised as the primary factor influencing overall portfolio returns. A robust framework, built on sound investment principles and diversified asset exposure, provides clarity and consistency, anchoring investors during uncertain times. This helps mitigate market noise, encouraging long-term investment and enables investors to stay the course.
We believe that not all portfolios are created equal - experience, discipline, and insights matter. Our range of ETF model portfolios are constructed using a strategic asset allocation framework, efficiently balancing long-term asset class returns, risk, and correlation forecasts. These portfolios can serve as core allocations for advisers aiming to maximise expected returns for a given level of risk. With a focus on the longer term, you avoid reactions to short-term noise while staying invested in asset classes with strong fundamentals and growth prospects.