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The US dollar free lunch is over. What now?

Investors who are unhedged to the US dollar have enjoyed a long period of higher returns and lower risk, but the dynamics have changed in 2025—and we believe the “new normal” will persist. In fact, we believe the US dollar is headed toward a multiyear bear market that will see it underperform most global currencies, a scenario would mark a seismic change for non-US investors. In this article, we explore scenarios for the US dollar’s prospects, and share currency-specific considerations for investors in Asia.

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