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Quarterly Fund Commentary State Street Gold Fund

In Q3 2025, the State Street Gold Fund returned 15.36%, outperforming its benchmark by 0.30%1. Gold prices hit record highs in both US$ and AUD, driven by Fed rate cuts, record inflows into gold ETFs, and ongoing U.S. fiscal uncertainty. During the quarter, gold price in USD approached US$4,000/oz, while gold price in AUD climbed near A$5,900/oz. Since inception in July 2024, the State Street Gold Fund has delivered a net return of 49.97%, outperforming its benchmark by 0.73%2.

APAC Gold Strategist

Gold price in USD surged 16.8% in Q3 2025, ending the quarter at US$3,859/oz. The rally extended into early October, with gold breaking above US$4,000/oz for the first time ever. Momentum was driven by resilient inflows into gold ETFs, escalating trade tensions, and growing expectations of further rate cuts. Bullish sentiment carried into early October, reinforcing gold’s outperformance and its appeal as a safe haven amid persistent macroeconomic uncertainty.

Global gold ETF flows surged to US$26 billion in Q3, with US$17 billion added in September alone—the largest monthly inflow on record. North America led with US$16.1 billion, followed by Europe (US$8.2 billion) and Asia (US$1.7 billion). The surge was driven by trade and policy risks, the U.S. government shutdown, and falling real interest rates, prompting investors to seek gold as a safe haven. As U.S. equities continue to hit record highs, investors may be anticipating a market correction—potentially boosting demand for gold, which has historically exhibited low correlation with equities.

In Q3, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) implemented a rate cut, lowering its cash rate from 3.85% to 3.60% amid signs of economic softness and subdued inflation. This dovish shift supported gold demand, as lower interest rates reduced the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. The move coincided with broader global monetary easing, reinforcing gold’s appeal as a hedge against market uncertainty.

In September, the National Bank of Poland (NBP) announced a new target to raise gold’s share of its international reserves from 20% to 30%. Having reached the previous target earlier this year through strong buying and price appreciation, the NBP paused accumulation but signaled it will resume purchases, noting that the pace will depend on market conditions. Despite the pause, NBP remains the top buyer year-to-date, adding 67 tonnes and bringing total holdings to 515 tonnes, or 22% of its reserves.

The outlook for gold remains bright, supported by robust near-term investment demand. Rising global uncertainty, increased strategic positioning by institutional investors, political instability in the U.S., and the Federal Reserve’s dovish pivot are all reinforcing gold’s appeal. Moreover, the ongoing trend of de-dollarization continues to support diversification efforts away from the U.S. dollar, particularly among central banks and asset owners.

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