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Our Global Market Outlook showcases our current investment views. But what about the less likely scenarios that, if they happened, could have a significant impact?
What if regulators take aim at these companies and Big Technology? Is this what stops the Magnificent Seven’s reign of market dominance?
Could risks in the non-financial sector trigger a sharp sell-off of debt securities that creates a serious blowback on exposed banks?
In a world beset by widespread turmoil, will investors still target traditional safe-haven assets?
If the Bank of Japan departs from negative rates more quickly and by more than anticipated, the yen could appreciate considerably.
Not all surprises are negative. This Grey Swan points to a positivity ‘miracle’ driven by AI and green energy investments.
Digital influencers and celebrities drive disruption of business models in entertainment industries, with knock-on effects for financial services.
Global Chief Investment Officer Lori Heinel explains Grey Swans and shares our thinking about outlier scenarios that diverge from our base case for 2024.
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Lori Heinel, CFA
Global Chief Investment Officer
Simona M Mocuta
Elliot Hentov, Ph.D.
Head of Macro Policy Research
Altaf Kassam, CFA
EMEA Head of Investment Strategy & Research
Matthew Nest, CFA
Global Head of Active Fixed Income
Esther Baroudy, CFA
Aaron R Hurd, FRM
Senior Portfolio Manager
Head of North American Investment Strategy & Research
Matthew J Bartolini, CFA, CAIA
Head of SPDR Americas Research
Download the full 2024 Grey Swans here.